Posts Tagged recession

The Idea behind the term "Black Friday"

            This is kind of a “passing the week . . .” post but first I wanted to put a collection of history tidbits and info out there for you. At the end or after you’ll find a links to a few post of interest.

 

The idea behind the term “Black Friday” is that this is the day in which retail stores have enough sales to put them “in the black” – an accounting expression that alludes to the practice of recording losses in red and profits in black.

 

So where did the term “Black Friday” come from?

 

In 1975 the shopping craze that followed Thanksgiving turned into Black Friday, in reference to the hectic crowds and horrendous traffic. Despite a slipping economy shoppers still came out in full force that year and caused several newspapers to call the day ‘Black Friday’, and thus the tradition began.

The earliest uses of “Black Friday” come from or reference Philadelphia and refer to the heavy traffic on that day, an implicit comparison to the extremely stressful and chaotic experience of Black Tuesday (the 1929 stock-market crash). The earliest known reference to “Black Friday” (in this sense), refers to Black Friday 1965 and makes the Philadelphia origin explicit:

JANUARY 1966 — “Black Friday” is the name which the Philadelphia Police Department has given to the Friday following Thanksgiving Day. It is not a term of endearment to them. “Black Friday” officially opens the Christmas shopping season in center city, and it usually brings massive traffic jams and over-crowded sidewalks as the downtown stores are mobbed from opening to closing.

The term Black Friday began to get wider exposure around 1975, as shown by two newspaper articles from November 29, 1975, both datelined from Philadelphia. The first reference is in an article entitled “Army vs. Navy: A Dimming Splendor,” in The New York Times:

“Philadelphia police and bus drivers call it “Black Friday” – that day each year between Thanksgiving Day and the Army-Navy game. It is the busiest shopping and traffic day of the year in the Bicentennial City as the Christmas list is checked off and the Eastern college football season nears conclusion.”

 

The derivation is also clear in an Associated Press article entitled “Folks on Buying Spree Despite Down Economy,” which ran in the Titusville Herald on the same day:

Store aisles were jammed. Escalators were nonstop people. It was the first day of the Christmas shopping season and despite the economy, folks here went on a buying spree. … “That’s why the bus drivers and cab drivers call today ‘Black Friday,’” a sales manager at Gimbels said as she watched a traffic cop trying to control a crowd of jaywalkers. “They think in terms of headaches it gives them.”

 

It is an Accounting practice:

 

            Look up in the red, in the black in Wiktionary, the free dictionary. Many merchants objected to the use of a negative term to refer to one of the most important shopping days in the year. By the early 1980s, an alternative theory began to be circulated: that retailers traditionally operated at a financial loss for most of the year (January through November) and made their profit during the holiday season, beginning on the day after Thanksgiving. When this would be recorded in the financial records, once-common accounting practices would use red ink to show negative amounts and black ink to show positive amounts. Black Friday, under this theory, is the beginning of the period where retailers would no longer have losses (the red) and instead take in the year’s profits (the black). The earliest known use, found by Bonnie Taylor-Blake, is from 1981, and presents the “black ink” theory as one of several competing possibilities.

 

The day after Thanksgiving in the United States. Retailers generally see an upward spike in sales and consider this to be the start of the holiday shopping season.

 

 

Historically Black Fridays have never been good events. History has shown many ‘Black’ days, most with dire consequences.

 

1.      A day of stock market catastrophe. Originally, September 24, 1869, was deemed Black Friday. The crash was sparked by gold speculators, including Jay Gould and James Fist, who attempted to corner the gold market. The attempt failed and the gold market collapsed, causing the stock market to plummet.

2.      The term “black” has been used to describe other disastrous days in financial markets. For example, on Black Tuesday, October 29, 1929, the market fell precipitously, signaling the start of the Great Depression.

3.      Black Friday in January 1939 refers to Australia’s day of horrible and devastating fires.

4.      The largest one-day drop in stock market history occurred on Black Monday, October 19, 1987, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted more than 22%.

 

So what happened this time around? With the economy the way it is many are concerned. Businesses wondering about their sales (many make 30% of their income during this month) and the rest wondering about the economy.

Well I am currently working for a Toy distributor (I even worked yesterday) and the rumor from the “big boss” is that their stores reported higher sales Friday than in past “Black Fridays”.

Early data show strong Black Friday

Shoppers, clerks say ‘Black Friday’ crowds seem lighter

Is Black Friday worth it?

 

 

taxguy has a few mentions this week (and I would like to point out, it is “taxguy” not Taxguy, or Tax Guy or whatever else has been put out just plain and simple, no caps one word taxguy. Why? The same reason I guess a parent names a child Elizabeth and demands people call her Elizabeth and not Lisa, or Beth.)

 

Issue #4: Dr. Tax-O-Sphere, Or How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Tax Code including pictures of your favorite tax bloggers.

Macho Macho tax blogs describes a site that shows you the chances in a blog (of a blog) if the author is male. As Joe points out it isn’t very accurate as it shows a few females bloggers ( including “Taxgirl”) as being “manly”. Although I question the overall findings, I found it interesting the score taxguy was given.

Friday inspiration: Facing an ugly reality and making changes. A mess I am in and trying to fix. An interview that I am now grateful I participated in and would encourage others to take part in this. The questions are pretty basic for everyone, if you can answer them, please respond to the request that is at the end of the post/interview.

And the Nominees for 2008 Twelve Blogs of Christmas are -

 

Okay enough about taxguy. . .

 

What the government should be doing during a recession

Tax Tips, Rates and Brackets for 2009 Returns

GREED IS THE WORD

Russia to Cut Corporate Taxes, Washington Dithers

 

Tags: black friday, economy, History, recession, retail stores, Review, stock market crash, Taxes, Week in review

Passing the week. . .

Some points I think need thought about:

 

Many economists believe and are expecting that the financial crisis, the worst in seven decades, will produce the country’s worst recession since the 1981-1982 downturn.

 

The retail sales report showed that sales at general merchandise stores, the category that includes big chains such as Wal-Mart Stores, and other department stores, fell 0.4%, while sales at specialty clothing stores were down a bigger 1.4%.

 

Sales at furniture stores dropped 2.5%, with sales at appliance stores and sport goods stores also showing declines.

 

One of the few areas to show an increase was the category that includes restaurants and bars, which posted a small 0.3% gain.

 

‘09 is going to be a very bad year for economic activity and is starting to dawn on people and they are starting to digest just how bad it’s going to be.

 

The Commerce Department reported that retail sales plunged by the largest amount on record in October as consumers cut back on spending in the wake of the financial crisis.

 

Retail sales fell 2.8% last month, surpassing the old mark of a 2.65% drop in November 2001 in the wake of the terrorist attacks that year.

 

For the week, the Dow lost 4.99%, the S&P fell 6.20% and the NASDAQ tumbled 7.92%.

 

The major indexes have fallen dramatically since their highs of October 2007 as the housing and credit crises have taken their toll on the economy. The Dow is down 40% from its closing record of 14,164.53, while the S&P 500 is off 44.2% from its record close of 1,565.15. The NASDAQ is off 46.9% from its then 7 1/12-year high of 2,859.12.

 

Wall Street’s violent swings in recent weeks are part of the market’s ongoing “bottoming” process, analysts say, in which the market retests the lows hit last month. The market is expected to remain volatile, as evidenced by past recoveries from a bear market.

 

            Kay Bell has some information in her post Treasury chief defends bank loss change. I know we should all be watching this scenario very close. Are you? Personally I am not very happy with how the bailout funds are being used. I still believe this thing passed when it shouldn’t have.

            A few other need to read post from Kay, Sunday reading: check cashers and recession talk, and Closer look at bank bailout tax breaks.

 

            Stimulus Package Is Not the Same as Stimulus Check is an informative post from Kelly the Taxgirl. If you are wondering about your next check . . . well I don’t, and neither should you.

 

            Ever want to take A Trip Through the IRS Audit, Appeals and Court Procedures? Well Rob Teuber from The Tax Law Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. I like the flow chart he has there.

 

            From my favorite tax blogger we have a great post of IF I HAD MY DRUTHERS – PART II. Part one was for the tax code. Part two is a wish list I am willing to bet most preparers have.

            Also from Robert this week, HERE IS A SPECIAL TAX TRICK, WHAT HAPPENS IF YOU DO NOT FILE YOUR FEDERAL INCOME TAX RETURN, TO TWIT OR NOT TO TWIT.

Welcome to Twitter Robert, however I must say I am surprised to see you there giving your thoughts on social networking sites. If we are careful, could we talk you into also using a preparation software? Well maybe that is too much. Still, I for one am surprised to see you on Twitter.

 

Things should get better by 2010 or so says The Economist looking at the GDP. This post from Andy might give you a look at what is to come. I even gave my two cents worth in the comments of this post.

Andy also gives us his Reflections on the Week.

 

In a recently added blog to my blogroll (A Personal Finance Guide), we are given some pointers to help us Get Out of the Spending Habit to Help Your Finance.

 

Bluntmoney.com is Looking for more inspiring stories. Have you paid off your debt or otherwise improved your financial life? Are you in the process of doing so? If so, she would love to hear from you.

 

Patrick over at CashMoneyLife had a great week of post. If you missed them I recommend you go check them out.

 

Last week/end I enter to win a book and was truly excited to find out that I had won. The contest was held over at Living Almost Large. The book I won you can find out about at Book Review: Birth of Plenty. This week she reviewed Book Review: Investing for Dummies.

            I am very anxious to read Birth of Plenty.

 

            Are you living paycheck to paycheck? Robbing Peter to pay Paul when it comes to your bills? If you aren’t sure or you know you are then check out Let’s Dance! Who Knows the “Bill Shuffle”? from Kevin over at No Debt Plan.

            Other need to read post from Kevin – How to Financially Prepare for Children?, ING and Virtual Bank Reminders, How to Combat Your Internal Credit Card Debt Excuses, and one that doesn’t sound right but is 10 Great Reasons to Have Credit Card Debt.

 

            Put Your Brain Where Your Money Is: Think to Save is a great post from Penelope Pince over at Pecuniarities. The key is think. Like Penelope, I think 24/7 has to be unhealthy but once or twice a day, think about it. Is there a less expensive way. For the record I have been recently call a “cheep bastard” by the most loved one in my life. This hasn’t always been with me. In fact I used to often spend money just because “shopping makes you feel better”.

 

            Monday over at Wide Open Wallet she has a great post called Not being true to yourself can lead to financial disaster. A lesson learned by many the hard way. Including myself. A great quote from the article “if you live spending every dollar, eventually you need even more.”

 

            New to my blogroll is TaxDollarsAndSense introduced to me from another tax blogger and friend with his mention of Help Yourself by Filing Past Due Tax Returns. As I perused the site I had a great smiling moment when I read IRS Secret Agent. I am hoping to get my yard mowed.

Tags: bailout, bear market, downturn, economic activity, economy, financial crisis, recession, Review, s, Taxes, Week in review

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